Goldman Sachs: Two situations support the view that the reserve price of Brent crude oil is $70. Goldman Sachs: We find that when the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of $60/barrel, the supply response measures of the United States will increase, and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) tends to extend the production reduction around the current price level, which supports our view that the reserve price of Brent crude oil is $70/barrel.Brazil's stock index closed down 2.67%, the biggest drop since January 2023 after the Brazilian central bank raised interest rates.China calls for supporting Afghanistan to rebuild its financial system and eradicate the breeding ground for terrorism. On December 12, local time, the UN Security Council reviewed the situation in Afghanistan, paying attention to the serious restrictions on women's rights and interests in the country and the still insufficient humanitarian funds. The Chinese representative pointed out that Afghanistan is currently at a critical stage of peaceful reconstruction, and the international community should play a better role in solving the outstanding problems facing Afghanistan. Fu Cong, Permanent Representative of China to the United Nations, pointed out that humanitarian relief concerns the vital interests of all Afghan people and must not be used as a bargaining chip for political pressure. China calls on traditional donors to increase capital investment, especially on the United States to unconditionally unfreeze and fully return overseas assets belonging to the Afghan people. Affected by unilateral sanctions, Afghanistan's banking system has been isolated from the international financial system for a long time. Relevant countries should immediately and unconditionally lift illegal unilateral sanctions and support Afghanistan in rebuilding its financial system.
Goldman Sachs: With the strong growth of Permian crude oil output and the continuous strong performance of natural gas condensate, the shale oil output (crude oil and natural gas condensate) in 48 States in the United States will grow steadily, and the daily output is expected to increase by 600,000 barrels.Reminder: Please pay attention to it during the day (the following are all Beijing time). ① At 07: 50, the outlook index of large-scale manufacturing industry in Japan in the fourth quarter is short-sighted; ② At 10: 35, Hunter, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, made a speech; ③ 15:00 UK merchandise trade account for October; ④ At 16: 00, Villeroy, Governor of the European Central Bank and Governor of the Bank of France, made a speech; ⑤ 17:00 Speech by Robert Holzmann, ECB Management Committee; 6. At 18: 00, the Bundesbank announced the semi-annual forecast report, and the industrial output of the euro zone in October; ⑦ 19:00 Speech by Mario Centeno, ECB Governing Committee and Governor of Portuguese Central Bank; 8: 21: 30 US import price index in November.Central Bank of Peru: Future interest rate decisions will depend on inflation data and its determinants.
Xie Feng, Ambassador of China to the United States: It is unwise to underestimate China, and it is not true to criticize China, and it will not succeed to contain China. According to the official of the Chinese Embassy in the United States, on December 11, 2024, u.s.-china business council held the 2024 annual celebration dinner in Washington. In his speech, Xie Feng said that China's economic operation is generally stable, progressing steadily, and it is confident to stabilize the market and prevent risks, with high-quality development and vitality, and there is potential for sustained recovery. In the first three quarters of this year, China's GDP increased by 4.8% year-on-year, which not only ranked among the major economies in terms of growth rate, but also increased the "gold content", "new content" and "green content" of economic development, ranking 11th in the global innovation index. As the package of incremental policies continued to show remarkable results, the growth rate of consumption, investment and export in October picked up, the real estate transaction volume rose one after another, the manufacturing purchasing managers' index returned to the boom zone, and the turnover of tens of thousands of brands in the "double 11" shopping festival doubled. Xie Feng emphasized that China's economy has always been growing under the challenges of wind and rain, and it is confident to achieve its economic growth target this year. Next year, it will implement more active macro policies to prevent and resolve risks in key areas and external shocks, and it will remain the biggest engine of world economic growth in the future. The sea can't be stirred, and it always rushes. It is unwise to underestimate China, it is not true to criticize China, and it is even more impossible to contain China.Xie Feng, Ambassador of China to the United States: It is unwise to underestimate China, and it is not true to criticize China, and it will not succeed to contain China. According to the official of the Chinese Embassy in the United States, on December 11, 2024, u.s.-china business council held the 2024 annual celebration dinner in Washington. In his speech, Xie Feng said that China's economic operation is generally stable, progressing steadily, and it is confident to stabilize the market and prevent risks, with high-quality development and vitality, and there is potential for sustained recovery. In the first three quarters of this year, China's GDP increased by 4.8% year-on-year, which not only ranked among the major economies in terms of growth rate, but also increased the "gold content", "new content" and "green content" of economic development, ranking 11th in the global innovation index. As the package of incremental policies continued to show remarkable results, the growth rate of consumption, investment and export in October picked up, the real estate transaction volume rose one after another, the manufacturing purchasing managers' index returned to the boom zone, and the turnover of tens of thousands of brands in the "double 11" shopping festival doubled. Xie Feng emphasized that China's economy has always been growing under the challenges of wind and rain, and it is confident to achieve its economic growth target this year. Next year, it will implement more active macro policies to prevent and resolve risks in key areas and external shocks, and it will remain the biggest engine of world economic growth in the future. The sea can't be stirred, and it always rushes. It is unwise to underestimate China, it is not true to criticize China, and it is even more impossible to contain China.Sources: Boeing (BA.N) is expected to deliver the new Air Force One after Trump's next term.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14